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Screening and Prevention of Disease

Chapter 6 | Part 1: The Profession of Medicine · Part 1 – The Profession of Medicine · Chapter 6


Key Clinical Points

  1. Screening requires a latent stage, effective treatment, and an acceptable test (WHO 1968 Principles).
  2. Lead time bias creates a false appearance of improved survival by moving the date of diagnosis earlier.
  3. Length time bias favors the detection of slowly progressing diseases, skewing survival statistics.
  4. Overdiagnosis is significant in breast cancer (15–40%) and prostate cancer (15–37%).
  5. Cost-effectiveness threshold for screening is $50,000–100,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) saved.
  6. Lung cancer screening via low-dose CT reduces mortality by 20% in adults 50–80 with a 20-pack-year history who currently smoke or quit within 15 years.
  7. Colorectal cancer screening: FOBT saves ~3 lives/1000; Colonoscopy saves ~20–24 lives/1000 over 25 years.
  8. Shared decision-making is essential for prostate and colon cancer due to complex benefit-to-harm ratios.
  9. Smoking cessation is a primary preventive measure, with significant impact on life expectancy.
  10. Age is the primary factor for determining screening recommendations; 'sunset' screening is applied when life expectancy is limited.

DEFINITION & OVERVIEW

Core Concept: Screening and prevention are proactively administered to healthy individuals rather than in response to symptoms. • Primary Goal: Prevent disease or detect it early enough that intervention is more effective. • Methodologies: ◦ Biochemical (e.g., cholesterol, glucose) ◦ Physiologic (e.g., blood pressure, growth curves) ◦ Radiologic (e.g., mammogram, bone densitometry) ◦ Cytologic (e.g., Pap smear) ◦ Omics (Germline genomic data, polygenic risk scores, proteomics, metabolomics) ◦ Imaging (e.g., Coronary CT for statin therapy decisions) • Emerging Technologies: ◦ New imaging modalities to detect changes at cellular and subcellular levels. ◦ Germline genomic data and polygenic risk scores for risk stratification. ◦ Omics data and circulating DNA/mutations in stool/blood for early detection.

World Health Organization Principles

WHO 1968 Principles: The basic principles of screening populations for disease include: ◦ Condition must be an important health problem. ◦ There must be a treatment available. ◦ Facilities for diagnosis and treatment must be available. ◦ There must be a latent stage of the disease. ◦ There must be a test or examination for the condition. ◦ The test must be acceptable to the population. ◦ The natural history of the disease must be adequately understood. ◦ There must be an agreed policy on whom to treat. ◦ Cost of finding a case must be balanced in relation to overall medical expenditure.


EPIDEMIOLOGY

Leading Causes of Mortality (US): Heart diseases, malignant neoplasms, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, accidents, and cerebrovascular diseases. • Global Health Burden: Malaria, malnutrition, AIDS, tuberculosis, and violence.

Lifetime Cumulative Risk

Risk Statistics (Table 6-2): ◦ Breast cancer for women: 10% ◦ Colon cancer: 6% ◦ Cervical cancer for women: 2% (unscreened, no HPV vaccine) ◦ Domestic violence for women: Up to 15% ◦ Hip fracture for white women: 16%


ETIOLOGY & PATHOPHYSIOLOGY

Requirement: Natural history of disease must be understood for screening to be effective. • Latent Phase: A long preclinical phase where early treatment increases the chance of cure is a hallmark of many cancers. • Clinical Examples: ◦ Polypectomy prevents progression to colon cancer. ◦ Early identification of hypertension or hyperlipidemia allows therapeutic interventions. ◦ Lung cancer: Historically challenging because most tumors are not curable by the time they are detected on chest x-ray. ◦ Prostate cancer: Often indolent; mortality often caused by competing morbidities (e.g., coronary artery disease).

Latent Phase & Natural History

Duration: Depends on the resolution of the screening test. • Prostate Cancer: Early detection may not lead to a difference in mortality rate due to its indolent nature; uncertainty about natural history leads to controversy regarding treatment.


CLINICAL FEATURES

Target Population: Asymptomatic individuals. • Detection: Abnormalities identified on screening tests (e.g., elevated PSA, abnormal mammogram). • Complications of Screening: ◦ Incidentalomas or adverse events. ◦ Overdiagnosis: Identifying disease that would not have presented clinically in the patient's lifetime.

Screening Targets

Diseases/Conditions: ◦ Cardiovascular disease ◦ Diabetes ◦ Cancer (Breast, Colon, Cervical, Lung, Prostate) ◦ Infections (HIV, Hepatitis C, Chlamydia, Gonorrhea) ◦ Mental Health (Depression, Anxiety) ◦ Substance Use (Alcohol, Tobacco) ◦ Violence (Domestic, Intimate Partner)


DIFFERENTIAL DIAGNOSIS

Distinction: Screening findings must be distinguished from incidentalomas. • False-Positives: Occur with nearly all screening tests. • Mimickers: Benign conditions identified on imaging or labs.

False-Positive Results

Mammography: Abnormality identified that is not malignant, requiring biopsy or follow-up. • Chest CT: Identification of non-malignant abnormalities. • Pap Smears: Identifies a wide range of potentially premalignant states; only a small percentage progress to invasive cancer. • Risk Link: Risk of overdiagnosis is tied to the risk of false-positive tests.


INVESTIGATIONS & DIAGNOSIS

Evidence Standards: ◦ Gold Standard: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with mortality outcomes. ◦ Alternative: Observational studies (case-control) used when RCTs are not feasible (e.g., colonoscopy). ◦ Ecologic data used for cervical cancer screening to demonstrate mortality decline. • Primary Endpoints: Must be disease incidence or mortality, NOT length of disease survival. • Biases: ◦ Lead time bias: Screening identifies a case before it would have presented clinically, creating a false appearance of improved survival. ◦ Length time bias: Screening is more likely to identify slowly progressing diseases than rapidly progressing ones.

Abdominal aortic aneurysm: Ultrasound in men 65–75 who have ever smoked (Once). • Alcohol misuse: Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) for all adults. • Breast cancer: Mammography with or without clinical breast examination; women 40–75 (Every 2 years). • Cervical cancer: ◦ Pap smear: Women 21–65 (Every 3 years). ◦ Pap smear and/or HPV testing: Women 30–65 (Every 5 years if HPV negative). • Chlamydia/gonorrhea: Nucleic acid amplification test on urine or cervical swab; sexually active women <25. • Colorectal cancer: ◦ Fecal occult blood testing: 45–75 (Every year). ◦ Fecal immunochemical-DNA: 45–75 (Every 1–3 years). ◦ Sigmoidoscopy: 45–75 (Every 5 years). ◦ Colonoscopy (or occult blood combined with sigmoidoscopy): 45–75 (Every 10 years). • Depression/anxiety: Screening questions for all adults. • Diabetes: Fasting blood glucose or HgbA1c; overweight, obese, or hypertensive adults (Every 3 years). • Hepatitis C: Anti-HCV antibody followed by confirmatory PCR; ages 18–79 (Once). • HIV: Reactive immunoassay or rapid HIV followed by confirmatory test; ages 15–65 (At least once). • Hyperlipidemia: Cholesterol; ages 40–75. • Hypertension: Blood pressure; all adults (Periodically). • Intimate partner violence: Screening questions for women of childbearing age. • Lung cancer: Low-dose CT; adults 50–80 with a 20-pack-year smoking history who currently smoke or quit within 15 years (Yearly). • Obesity: Body mass index; all adults. • Osteoporosis: DEXA; women >65 or >60 with risk factors.

Life Expectancy Gains (Table 6-3)

  1. Mammography (Women 40–50) → 0–5 days
  2. Mammography (Women 50–70) → 1 month
  3. Smoking cessation (35-year-old) → 3–5 years
  4. Exercise (40-year-old man, 30 min, 3x/week) → 9 months–2 years Note: These are average population gains, not individual guarantees.

MANAGEMENT & TREATMENT

Intervention Types: Counseling, vaccinations, medications, and surgery. • Shared Decision-Making: Essential when benefit-to-harm ratio is uncertain (e.g., prostate cancer). • Implementation Strategies: ◦ EHR reminder systems ◦ Standing orders for nurses/staff ◦ Age-specific flow sheets ◦ Use of age categories to guide implementation. • Clinical Focus: For patients with advanced disease and limited life expectancy, focus shifts from screening to conditions affecting quality/length of life. • Timing: Benefit for many tests does not accrue until 5–10 years of follow-up. • Age Limit: Fewer data support continuing screening past age 75.

Preventive Interventions (Table 6-5)

  1. Adult Immunization: ◦ COVID-19 (>18) ◦ Tetanus-diphtheria (>18, Every 10 years) ◦ Varicella (Susceptibles only, >18, Two doses) ◦ MMR (Women, childbearing age, One dose) ◦ Pneumococcal (>64, 20 valent option or 15/23) ◦ Influenza (>18, Yearly) ◦ HPV (Up to age 27, if not done prior) ◦ Zoster (>60, Once)
  2. Chemoprevention: ◦ Aspirin: Cardiovascular disease, aged 40–59 with ≥10% 10-year risk. ◦ Folic acid: Neural tube defects; women planning or capable of pregnancy. ◦ Tamoxifen/raloxifene: Breast cancer, high-risk women. ◦ Vitamin D: Fracture/falls, >64 at increased risk for falls.

Preventive Counseling (Table 6-6)

  1. Alcohol and drug use
  2. Genetic counseling (BRCA1/2) for high-risk women
  3. Nutrition and diet
  4. Sexually transmitted infections
  5. Sun exposure
  6. Tobacco use

PROGNOSIS & COMPLICATIONS

Harms of Screening: ◦ Side effects from medications/vaccines ◦ False-positive results ◦ Overdiagnosis ◦ Anxiety ◦ Radiation exposure (Mammography, Chest CT) • Cost-Effectiveness: Target is $50,000–100,000 per quality-adjusted year of life saved. • Lung Cancer Impact: Low-dose CT reduces mortality by 20% in eligible individuals. • Colorectal Cancer Impact: ◦ FOBT: ~3 lives/1000 ◦ Colonoscopy: ~20–24 lives/1000 over 25 years.

Harms and Biases

Overdiagnosis Rates: ◦ Breast cancer: 15–40% may never present clinically. ◦ Prostate cancer: 15–37% may never present clinically. • Lead Time Bias: Moves date of diagnosis earlier, creating false perception of improved survival. • Length Time Bias: Favors detection of slow-progressing disease.


SPECIAL CONSIDERATIONS

Age as Risk Factor: Primary factor for determining screening recommendations. • Risk Factors: Specific tests based on smoking, family history, etc. • Family History: Colorectal cancer; start screening 10 years before the age of the youngest affected relative. • Pregnancy: ◦ Contraindicated: MMR, Varicella ◦ HPV vaccine: Up to age 27 • Elderly: 'Sunset' screening for advanced diseases/limited life expectancy.

Age-Specific Mortality and Prevention (Table 6-7)

  1. Age 15–24: ◦ Risks: Accident, Homicide, Suicide, Malignancy, Heart disease. ◦ Interventions: Seat belts/helmets; diet/exercise; alcohol awareness; vaccinations (tetanus, diphtheria, hepatitis B, MMR, rubella, varicella, meningitis, HPV, COVID-19); gun safety; substance abuse; domestic violence; depression/suicide screening; Pap smear (>21); skin/breast/testicular exams; UV protection; BMI measurement; tobacco cessation; STD prevention (Chlamydia, Gonorrhea, Hep B, Syphilis); Hep C (18–79); HIV; Influenza.
  2. Age 25–44: ◦ Risks: Accident, Malignancy, Heart disease, Suicide, Homicide, HIV. ◦ Interventions: Smoking cessation; family history assessment; cardiac risk factors (diabetes, hyperlipidemia); alcohol/liver health; mammography at age 40.
  3. Age 45–64: ◦ Risks: Malignancy, Heart disease, Accident, Diabetes, Cerebrovascular, COPD, Liver disease, Suicide. ◦ Interventions: Prostate cancer (PSA/DRE) at 50; Colorectal screening at 45/50; update vaccinations at 50; Pneumococcal for smokers at 50; Zoster at 60; Mammography by 50; Lung cancer (50–80 if 20-pack-year history).
  4. Age ≥65: ◦ Risks: Heart disease, Malignancy, Cerebrovascular, COPD, Alzheimer’s, Influenza/Pneumonia, Diabetes, Kidney disease, Accidents, Septicemia. ◦ Interventions: AAA ultrasound (men 65–75 who smoked); pulmonary function testing; osteoporosis screening; influenza/pneumococcal vaccination; vision/hearing/fall prevention; elder abuse screening.

KEY PEARLS & CLINICAL TRAPS

Safety First: Screening must be low risk to have an acceptable benefit-to-harm ratio. • Bias Awareness: Lead time and length time bias are critical for interpreting survival data correctly. • Overdiagnosis: Significant concern in breast and prostate cancer. • Cost-Effectiveness: Target is $50,000–100,000 per quality-adjusted year of life saved. • Shared Decision-Making: Essential for prostate and colon cancer. • Lung Cancer Criteria: 20-pack-year history + current smoker or quit <15 years. • Family History Rule: Start colorectal screening 10 years before the youngest relative's diagnosis age. • Sunset Screening: Appropriate for patients with advanced disease/limited life expectancy.

Clinical Pearls

• WHO 1968 Principles are the foundation of screening. • Omics data (genomics, proteomics, metabolomics) are emerging for risk prediction. • Vaccinations are effective with limited side effects. • Smoking cessation is the single greatest preventive health care measure. • EHR systems assist with adherence to routine screening.


Reference Tables

TABLE 6-1 Principles of Screening The condition should be an important health problem. There should be a treatment for…

Harrison's 22e, p.37

6 Screening and Prevention
of Disease
Gary J. Martin

TABLE 6-1 Principles of Screening

  • The condition should be an important health problem.
  • There should be a treatment for the condition.
  • Facilities for diagnosis and treatment should be available.
  • There should be a latent stage of the disease.
  • There should be a test or examination for the condition.
  • The test should be acceptable to the population.
  • The natural history of the disease should be adequately understood.
  • There should be an agreed policy on whom to treat.
  • The cost of finding a case should be balanced in relation to overall medical
    expenditure.

TABLE 6-2 Lifetime Cumulative Risk Breast cancer for women Colon cancer Cervical cancer for women a Domestic violence…

Harrison's 22e, p.37

Breast cancer for women 10%
Cervical cancer for womena 2%
Hip fracture for white women 16%

TABLE 6-3 Estimated Average Increase in Life Expectancy for a Population

Harrison's 22e, p.38

SCREENING OR PREVENTIVE INTERVENTION AVERAGE INCREASE
Mammography:
Women, 40–50 years 0–5 days
Women, 50–70 years 1 month
Getting a 35-year-old smoker to quit 3–5 years

Harrison's 22e, p.39

DISEASE TEST POPULATION FREQUENCY CHAPTER
Abdominal aortic aneurysm Ultrasound Men 65–75 who have ever smoked Once
Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test All adults Unknown
Breast cancer Mammography with or without clinical breast
examination
Women (40?) 50–75 Every 2 years 84
Pap smear
Pap smear and/or HPV testing
Women 21–65
Women 30–65
Every 3 years
Every 5 years if HPV negative
Chlamydia/gonorrhea Nucleic acid amplification test on urine or
cervical swab
Sexually active women <25 Unknown 194
Fecal occult blood testing
Fecal immunochemical-DNA
Sigmoidoscopy
Colonoscopy (or occult blood testing combined
with sigmoidoscopy)
45–75
45–75
45–75
45–75
Every year
Every 1–3 years
Every 5 years
Every 10 years
Depression+anxiety Screening questions All adults Periodically
Fasting blood glucose or HgbA1c Adults overweight, obese, or with
hypertension
Every 3 years
Hepatitis C Anti-HCV antibody followed by confirmatory
PCR
18–79 Once 350
Reactive immunoassay or rapid HIV followed
by confirmatory test
15–65 At least once
Hyperlipidemia Cholesterol 40–75 Unknown 419
Blood pressure All adults Periodically
Intimate partner violence Screening questions Women of childbearing age Unknown
Low-dose computed tomography Adults 50–80 years who have a
20-pack-year smoking history and
currently smoke or have quit within
the past 15 years
Yearly
Obesity Body mass index All adults Unknown 414
DEXA Women >65 or >60 with risk factors Unknown

Harrison's 22e, p.40

INTERVENTION DISEASE POPULATION FREQUENCY CHAPTER
Adult immunization 127, 129
COVID-19
Tetanus-diphtheria
>18
>18
Every 10 years
Varicella Susceptibles only, >18 Two doses
Measles-mumps-rubella Women, childbearing age One dose
Pneumococcal >64 20 valent option or 15/23
Influenza >18 Yearly
Human papillomavirus Up to age 27 If not done prior
Zoster >60 Once
Chemoprevention
Aspirin Cardiovascular disease Aged 40–59 years with a ≥10% 10-year
cardiovascular disease risk (bleeding risk
may = benefit for some groups)
Folic acid Neural tube defects in baby Women planning or capable of pregnancy
Tamoxifen/raloxifene Breast cancer Women at high risk for breast cancer
Vitamin D Fracture/falls >64 at increased risk for falls

Harrison's 22e, p.40

TOPIC CHAPTER REFERENCE
Alcohol and drug use 464, 467, 468
Nutrition and diet 343, 344
Sun exposure 64

TABLE 6-7 Age-Specific Causes of Mortality and Corresponding Preventive Options

Harrison's 22e, p.41

AGE GROUP LEADING CAUSES OF
AGE-SPECIFIC MORTALITY
SCREENING PREVENTION INTERVENTIONS TO CONSIDER FOR EACH SPECIFIC POPULATION
15–24 1. Accident
2. Homicide
3. Suicide
4. Malignancy
5. Heart disease
• Counseling on routine seat belt use, bicycle/motorcycle/ATV helmets (1)
• Counseling on diet and exercise (5)
• Discuss dangers of alcohol use while driving, swimming, boating (1)
• Assess and update vaccination status (tetanus, diphtheria, hepatitis B, MMR, rubella, varicella, meningitis, HPV,
COVID-19)
• Ask about gun use and/or gun possession (2,3)
• Assess for substance abuse history including alcohol (2,3)
• Screen for domestic violence (2,3)
• Screen for depression and/or suicidal/homicidal ideation (2,3)
• Pap smear for cervical cancer screening after age 21 (4)
• Discuss skin, breast awareness, and testicular self-examinations (4)
• Recommend UV light avoidance and regular sunscreen use (4)
• Measurement of blood pressure, height, weight, and body mass index (5)
• Discuss health risks of tobacco use, consider emphasis on cosmetic and economic issues to improve quit rates for
younger smokers (4,5)
• Chlamydia and gonorrhea screening and contraceptive counseling for sexually active females, discuss STD
prevention
• Hepatitis B, and syphilis testing if there is high-risk sexual behavior(s) or any prior history of sexually transmitted
disease
• Hepatitis C screening starting at age 18 to 79
• HIV testing
• Continue annual influenza vaccination
1. Accident
2. Malignancy
3. Heart disease
4. Suicide
5. Homicide
6. HIV
45–64 1. Malignancy
2. Heart disease
3. Accident
4. Diabetes mellitus
5. Cerebrovascular disease
6. Chronic lower respiratory
disease
7. Chronic liver disease and
cirrhosis
8. Suicide
• Consider prostate cancer screen with annual PSA and digital rectal examination at age 50 (or possibly earlier in
African Americans or patients with family history) (1)
• Begin colorectal cancer screening at age 45 or 50 with fecal occult blood testing, stool DNA testing, flexible
sigmoidoscopy, or colonoscopy (1)
• Reassess and update vaccination status at age 50 and vaccinate all smokers against Streptococcus pneumoniae
at age 50 (6)
• Consider screening for coronary disease in higher-risk patients (2,5)
• Zoster vaccination at age 60
• Begin mammography screening by age 50
• Lung cancer screening at age 50–80 years if a 20-pack-year smoking history and currently smoke or have quit
within the past 15 years, yearly
1. Heart disease
2. Malignancy
3. Cerebrovascular disease
4. Chronic lower respiratory
disease
5. Alzheimer’s disease
6. Influenza and pneumonia
7. Diabetes mellitus
8. Kidney disease
9. Accidents
10. Septicemia